US, Iran Close in on Deal to End War & Launch 30-day window to Resolve Sticking Points

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The Trump administration says the war with Iran is over but may be stuck in a prolonged standoff with reduced hostilities and little progress on its primary objectives on Tehran’s nuclear program or the Strait of Hormuz.

Reports of progress in a diplomatic off-ramp to the war are being met with the challenging reality of getting a hardline regime in Tehran to make concessions that are suitable to the White House. Several rounds of discussions have already fallen apart at the last minute, highlighting the difficulty of getting the U.S. out of the war.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters at the White House that “Operation Epic Fury,” the White House’s name for the war with Iran, had concluded and its objectives were completed. Continuing efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway where 20% of the world’s oil passes through, were a separate defensive and humanitarian mission, he said.

Trump said later that day he was pausing the operation to guide commercial vessels that have been stuck in the Strait of Hormuz to give more room for peace talks. A tenuous ceasefire has been in place since April 8 despite several claims of violations from the U.S. and Iran.

Gen. Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said that since the ceasefire started, Iran has fired on commercial vessels nine times, seized two, and attacked U.S. forces more than 10 times. But he said those outbursts were “all below the threshold of restarting major combat operations, at this point.”

But Trump threatened Iran in a social media post with more bombing on Wednesday if the country doesn’t agree to allow traffic to restart through the strait and accept a peace deal that he did not provide details on.

“If they don’t agree, the bombing starts,” he wrote.

The U.S. believes it’s close to reaching an agreement with Iran that would end the war and create a framework for more detailed discussions over the future of Iran’s nuclear program, Axios reported on Wednesday. Under the proposal, Iran would commit to a moratorium on nuclear enrichment, and the U.S. would lift sanctions and release frozen Iranian funds. Both sides would also lift restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz.

Even if Washington and Tehran agree to the initial terms, they are contingent on a final resolution being reached, risking a continuation of another long standoff where hostilities are paused but the primary issues stay unresolved.

Iranian officials cast doubt on reports of progress, who described it “more a list of American wishes than a reality.”

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